TY - GEN
T1 - Detecting Structure in Activity Sequences
T2 - 59th International Annual Meeting of the Human Factors and Ergonomics Society, HFES 2015
AU - Hammack, Taleri
AU - Flach, John
AU - Houpt, Joseph
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
Copyright 2015 Human Factors and Ergonomics Society.
PY - 2015
Y1 - 2015
N2 - Can humans discriminate whether strings of events (e.g., shooting success in basketball) were generated by a random or constrained process (e.g., hot and cold streaks)? Conventional wisdom suggests that humans are not good at this discrimination. For example, Kahneman (2011) writes that “the hot hand is entirely in the eye of the beholders, who are consistently too quick to perceive order and causality in randomness. The hot hand is a massive and widespread cognitive illusion” (p. 117). Following from Cooper, Hammack, Lemasters, and Flach (2014), a series of Monte Carlo simulations and empirical experiments examined the abilities of both humans and statistical tests (Wald-Wolfowitz Runs Test and 1/f) to detect specific constraints that are representative of plausible factors that might influence the performance of athletes (e.g., learning, non-stationary task constraints).
AB - Can humans discriminate whether strings of events (e.g., shooting success in basketball) were generated by a random or constrained process (e.g., hot and cold streaks)? Conventional wisdom suggests that humans are not good at this discrimination. For example, Kahneman (2011) writes that “the hot hand is entirely in the eye of the beholders, who are consistently too quick to perceive order and causality in randomness. The hot hand is a massive and widespread cognitive illusion” (p. 117). Following from Cooper, Hammack, Lemasters, and Flach (2014), a series of Monte Carlo simulations and empirical experiments examined the abilities of both humans and statistical tests (Wald-Wolfowitz Runs Test and 1/f) to detect specific constraints that are representative of plausible factors that might influence the performance of athletes (e.g., learning, non-stationary task constraints).
KW - Basketball
KW - Erogonomics
KW - Monte Carlo methods
KW - Palmprint recognition
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UR - https://corescholar.libraries.wright.edu/isap_2015/40
U2 - 10.1177/1541931215591254
DO - 10.1177/1541931215591254
M3 - Conference contribution
AN - SCOPUS:84981747164
VL - 59
T3 - Proceedings of the Human Factors and Ergonomics Society
SP - 846
EP - 849
BT - 2015 International Annual Meeting of the Human Factors and Ergonomics Society, HFES 2015
PB - Human Factors and Ergonomics Society Inc.
Y2 - 26 October 2015 through 30 October 2015
ER -